Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140 0.000150 0.000160 0.000172 0.000186
2024-12-15 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000149 0.000167 0.000187 0.000214
2024-12-22 0.000103 0.000115 0.000130 0.000149 0.000173 0.000203 0.000244
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000112 0.000130 0.000152 0.000183 0.000222 0.000281
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000149 0.000182 0.000229 0.000301
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000099 0.000118 0.000143 0.000178 0.000229 0.000311
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000094 0.000112 0.000138 0.000176 0.000230 0.000323
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000131 0.000169 0.000224 0.000322
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000087 0.000105 0.000132 0.000173 0.000236 0.000353
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106 0.000135 0.000180 0.000253 0.000398
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000137 0.000187 0.000271 0.000447
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000087 0.000109 0.000145 0.000202 0.000305 0.000544
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000107 0.000143 0.000204 0.000317 0.000596
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000082 0.000104 0.000141 0.000205 0.000326 0.000648
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000080 0.000103 0.000142 0.000209 0.000344 0.000736
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000079 0.000104 0.000144 0.000218 0.000374 0.000883
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000077 0.000100 0.000141 0.000216 0.000377 0.000937
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000135 0.000208 0.000368 0.000939
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000204 0.000365 0.000964
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088 0.000125 0.000194 0.000348 0.000920
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000126 0.000199 0.000368 0.001067
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000128 0.000207 0.000400 0.001317
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000130 0.000215 0.000432 0.001643